Ishares Bitcoin Trust Etf Performance

IBIT Etf  USD 47.49  0.11  0.23%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.17, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, IShares Bitcoin will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days iShares Bitcoin Trust has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's forward indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the exchange-traded fund private investors. ...more
1
BlackRocks IBIT Bitcoin ETF Sees Record 2.7 Billion Exodus
12/05/2025
2
This BlackRock ETF Could Soar 24,000, According to Billionaire Michael Saylor
12/17/2025
3
BlackRock hits record milestone in payouts
12/30/2025
4
Bitcoin options open interest extends dominance over futures, damping BTC volatility
01/13/2026
5
24,396 Shares in iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF IBIT Purchased by SG Americas Securities LLC
01/16/2026
6
Delaware Life Launches First Fixed Index Annuity That Offers Bitcoin Exposure
01/21/2026
7
Sovran Advisors LLC Acquires 70,329 Shares of iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF IBIT
01/26/2026
8
J. Safra Sarasin Holding AG Purchases 11,447 Shares of iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF IBIT
01/28/2026
9
Should You Buy Bitcoin While Its Under 90,000
01/30/2026

IShares Bitcoin Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,718  in iShares Bitcoin Trust on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (969.00) from holding iShares Bitcoin Trust or give up 16.95% of portfolio value over 90 days. iShares Bitcoin Trust is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.7692% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 24% of etfs are less volatile than IShares, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IShares Bitcoin is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

IShares Bitcoin Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 47.49 90 days 47.49 
about 89.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares Bitcoin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.5 (This iShares Bitcoin Trust probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, IShares Bitcoin will likely underperform. Additionally IShares Bitcoin Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   IShares Bitcoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Bitcoin Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.7047.4750.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.5246.2949.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.2845.0547.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.9951.0755.15
Details

IShares Bitcoin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares Bitcoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares Bitcoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iShares Bitcoin Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares Bitcoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
4.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

IShares Bitcoin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares Bitcoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iShares Bitcoin Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IShares Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from fool.com: Should You Buy Bitcoin While Its Under 90,000

About IShares Bitcoin Performance

Assessing IShares Bitcoin's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into IShares Bitcoin's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the IShares Bitcoin is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
IShares Bitcoin is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange.
IShares Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from fool.com: Should You Buy Bitcoin While Its Under 90,000
When determining whether iShares Bitcoin Trust is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if IShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ishares Bitcoin Trust Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ishares Bitcoin Trust Etf:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in iShares Bitcoin Trust. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
iShares Bitcoin Trust's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on IShares's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate IShares Bitcoin's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since IShares Bitcoin's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Bitcoin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Bitcoin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Bitcoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.